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中国国有资本撬动世界石油生产  发贴心情 Post By:2012/8/1 9:49:56

China's state-controlled oil producers are targeting struggling energy companies and projects world-wide, opening up production that might not otherwise happen.


In the latest deal, Cnooc Ltd. last week said it would buy one of Canada's largest oil producers for $15.1 billion. If the acquisition of Nexen Inc. passes regulatory hurdles in Washington and Ottawa, it would join more than $50 billion in overseas oil-and-gas deals completed by Chinese companies since 2009, according to data provided by securities firm Jefferies Hong Kong Ltd. That is in addition to tens of billions of dollars in loan-for-oil programs in Venezuela, Brazil, Kazakhstan and elsewhere.


Including Nexen's output, a conservative tally of publicly available data on foreign production for major Chinese oil companies would be in the neighborhood of the total output of Norway, the world's No. 15 crude-oil producer.


In many cases, China's oil producers have targeted struggling and underfunded oil-and-gas operations abroad, helping to support supplies amid tight credit markets and a natural-gas glut in North America. Nexen Chief Executive Marvin Romanow resigned in January amid production-related setbacks around the world, including at the company's Long Lake oil-sands project in Canada.


Analysts said Chinese capital investment has helped put downward pressure on energy prices even as demand from China and other parts of the developing world skyrockets.


'Projects are being developed that wouldn't be if China wasn't in the game,' said Laban Yu, head of oil-and-gas research at Jefferies.


Mr. Yu cited China Petrochemical Corp.'s recent $2.5 billion investment in five U.S. shale blocks owned by Oklahoma-based Devon Energy Corp. The Chinese company, known as Sinopec, owns just a 33% stake in the blocks but is responsible for funding about 80% of the exploration activity.


In other cases, Chinese capital has helped boost output of existing projects. Sinopec said in May that its Addax Petroleum unit, acquired in 2009 for $7.2 billion, had boosted crude-oil output to 8.4 million metric tons from 6.8 million tons in 2009. At the time of the takeover, Geneva-based Addax's crude output was declining because of low reserves and a lack of drilling rigs, the company said.


Sinopec in 2010 acquired 40% of the Brazilian assets of Spain's Repsol YPF SA for $7.1 billion. The deal provided funding for the Spanish company's oil-and-gas exploration and production off Brazil. Since then, the companies have announced discoveries in the Campos, Espírito Santo and Santos basins off shore.


Chinese investment also has spurred supply in regions where few companies had dared tread. The country has emerged as a competitor in Sudan's oil industry despite conflict there.


The world's oil-supply growth is expected to keep pace with demand next year, the International Energy Agency has said, largely because of new supplies from Canadian oil sands, U.S. shale oil and Brazil's Campos and Santos basins─all of which China is heavily involved in.


Cnooc and other Chinese oil companies are under government orders to make their operations more international. Beijing is concerned that domestic oil and gas production is stagnating and that initiatives to develop unconventional reserves like shale gas in western China and deep-water reserves in the South China Sea remain years away. The government also hopes to reduce its dependence on the Middle East.


Overseas output has compensated for a domestic lag. Sinopec has said it plans to double its share of oil output from overseas projects to more than 50 million metric tons by 2015 from 22.9 million tons last year. PetroChina Co., the listed arm of China National Petroleum Corp., the country's largest oil and gas producer, has said it would spend $60 billion this decade to boost overseas oil production.


PetroChina, whose combined overseas and domestic crude-oil output surpassed that of Exxon Mobil Corp. last year, has said its overseas oil-and-gas production more than doubled since 2007 to 120.8 million barrels last year. The figures don't include output from politically sensitive countries like Iran and Sudan, where operations are controlled by state-controlled CNPC.


Cnooc's acquisition of Nexen would mark an uptick in Chinese involvement in North America, where China has been relegated mostly to serving as a financial backer to U.S. and international oil companies. Nexen holds sizable assets in the Gulf of Mexico, and a successful acquisition would further open the door for Chinese companies to operate in North American oil and gas fields alongside established energy giants like Exxon Mobil.


Analysts have said that acquiring U.S. assets by way of a third country is a less politically dicey way to make U.S. inroads than buying American companies outright.


'Gaining an operating role in the United States via the acquisition of a Canadian company is a smart approach,' said Erica Downs, who analyzes Chinese energy policy at the Brookings Institution in Washington. 'If Cnooc was attempting to buy an American energy company for $15 billion, I would be much less optimistic about the transaction getting a green light.'



中国政府控股的石油生产企业将收购目标锁定在世界范围内那些身陷困境的能源企业和能源项目身上,一些原本可能无法开展的能源生产活动因此得以进行。


相关报道最近一笔收购交易,是中国海洋石油有限公司(Cnooc Ltd.)上周表示将以151亿美元的价格收购加拿大一家大型石油生产企业。据证券公司富瑞金融集口香港有限公司(Jefferies Hong Kong Ltd.)提供的数据,中国企业从2009年以来完成的海外油气资源并购交易金额已经超过500亿美元。如果中海油收购Nexen Inc.的交易能够突破华盛顿和渥太华的监管屏障,那么这个金额将会进一步提高。除此以外,中国在委内瑞拉、巴西、哈萨克斯坦等国家还有数百亿美元的贷款换石油计划。


汇总公开可查数据就会发现,如果把Nexen的产量计算在内,中国主要石油企业的海外产量保守估计也将大致相当于世界第15大原油生产国挪威的总产量。


在很多情况下,中国石油生产企业瞄准的是海外那些处境困难、资金不足的油气业务,在信贷市场紧缩、北美天然气过剩的当前情况下,这帮助维持了市场的油气供应。Nexen首席执行长罗曼劳(Marvin Romanow)在今年1月份辞职,原因是该公司在全球多个地方的生产业务遭遇挫折,这其中包括该公司在加拿大的“Long Lake”油砂项目。


The Canadian Press/Associated Press中国企业从2009年以来完成的海外油气资源并购交易金额已经超过500亿美元。分析师说,就在中国和其他发展中国家的能源需求出现猛增之际,来自中国的投资从一个方面压制了能源价格的上涨。


富瑞金融集团香港公司的油气研究负责人Laban Yu说,正是因为中国的加入,一些原本无法启动的项目得以开发。


Laban Yu举了中国石油化工集团公司(China Petrochemical Corp.)前不久拿出25亿美元投资美国五个页岩气区块的例子。这些区块归美国戴文能源公司(Devon Energy Corp.)所有,中石化仅持有区块33%的股权,但却负责为这些区块上的勘探活动提供约八成资金。


在其他情况下,中国资本起到的作用则是帮助提高了已有项目的产量。中石化5月份表示,2009年以72亿美元买下的子公司Addax Petroleum已将原油产量从2009年的680万吨提高到840万吨。该公司说,在收购之时,由于储量低、勘探工作没有做足,Addax的原油产量正在下降。Addax公司的总部位于日内瓦。


中石化在2010年以71亿美元的价格收购了西班牙公司Repsol YPF SA在巴西资产的40%股权。这笔交易为Repsol YPF在巴西附近海上的油气勘探和生产活动提供了资金来源。从那时候起,两家公司在Campos、 Espírito Santo和Santos这三块近海盆地都宣布发现了油气资源。


此外,中国的海外投资还在那些之前很少有企业敢涉足的地区促进了油气生产。尽管苏丹国内时有冲突,但中国依然成为了苏丹石油工业的参与者。


国际能源署(International Energy Agency)说,预计全球石油供应增速明年可以跟上需求增长的步伐,这主要是因为世界上出现了加拿大油砂、美国页岩油和巴西Campos及Santos近海盆地的石油等新的石油供应,而所有这些项目中国均进行了积极参与。


按照中国政府的指示,中海油与中国其它石油企业都在努力使其业务更加国际化。北京方面担心,国内油气生产会停滞不前,而中国西部页岩气以及南中国海(South China Sea,中国称南海)深海石油等非常规资源的开发项目要多年后才能投产。中国政府现在希望减少对中东原油的依赖。


海外的油气产出缓解了中国国内供应跟不上需求步伐的窘境。中石化说,打算将海外项目中该公司根据其投资份额所拥有的石油产出量增加一倍,从去年的2,290万吨提高到2015年时的5,000万吨以上。中国石油天然气集团公司(China National Petroleum Corp.,简称:中国石油集团)旗下上市子公司中国石油天然气股份有限公司(PetroChina Co.,简称:中国石油)说,在2020年之前的10年内它将斥资600亿美元来提高海外石油产量。中国石油集团是中国最大的油气生产商。


如将中国石油的海外原油产量与国内产量加总,它的生产规模去年已超过埃克森美孚(Exxon Mobil Corp.)。中国石油说,该公司海外油气产量2007年以来已增加了一倍多,去年达到1.208亿桶油当量。这一数字不包括从伊朗和苏丹等政治敏感国家获得的石油产出。中国在这些国家的石油业务主要由中国石油集团控制。


中海油若顺利收购Nexen,将标志着中国对北美油气业务的参与度大幅提升。在北美大陆,中国基本上都是以美国石油公司和跨国石油企业财务支持者的身份出现。Nexen持有墨西哥湾大量油气资产。中海油若能成功收购Nexen,将为中国企业进一步打开与埃克森美孚等知名能源巨头平等参与北美油气开发的大门。


分析人士说,在进军美国市场时,通过第三国公司曲线收购美国资产的政治风险要小于直接买下美国公司。


美国布鲁金斯学会(Brookings Institution)研究中国能源政策的专家邓丽嘉(Erica Downs)说,通过收购加拿大公司来获得一个参与美国石油业务的角色是聪明的做法。她说,如果中海油试图直接以150亿美元收购一家美国能源公司,那我对于该交易会获得绿灯放行就远没有这么乐观了。


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